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Matchweek 6 · Sat 26 to Tue 29 Sep

The weekend, priced up.

Weekend football tips, match previews and plain-English guides to the betting markets. Premier League, EFL and European nights, with the reasoning behind every bet and every result kept on the record.

6
tips this weekend
+7.8%
sample ROI
0
results hidden
Main bet · 2 ptsExample fixture
Riverside Rovers to win
Riverside Rovers v Northgate City · Premier League · Sat 12:30
11/10Edge +7.4
Football tips · Match tips

This weekend's tips

Weekend picks across the main markets, with the reasoning behind each bet and a record of every result. Stakes are in points; prices are the best we found when we published.

Premier LeagueMain bet
RIV
Riverside Rovers
WDWWW
Sat
12:30
NGC
Northgate City
DWLDL
Match result
Riverside Rovers to win
11/10

Five home wins in six, four clean sheets. Northgate played 120 minutes in a cup tie on Tuesday.

Price 47.6%Edge +7.4Ours 55%
2 pts
Premier LeagueTip 2
HAR
Harbour Town
DLWDW
Sat
15:00
ASH
Ashford Athletic
WWLDW
Both teams to score
BTTS: Yes
4/5

One home clean sheet in ten for Harbour, whose first-choice centre-back is suspended. Ashford score in every away game.

Price 55.6%Edge +6.4Ours 62%
1 pt
Premier LeagueTip 3
MIL
Millbrook United
WDWWD
Sat
15:00
CAS
Castle Vale
LWLDW
Total goals
Under 2.5 goals
19/20

Four of Millbrook’s last six ended 1-0 or 1-1. Castle Vale’s top scorer is out with a hamstring injury.

Price 51.3%Edge +4.7Ours 56%
1 pt
ChampionshipTip 4
OAK
Oakham Town
WLWWD
Sat
17:30
LOW
Lowmoor United
LLWLW
Total goals
Over 2.5 goals
10/11

Both sides press high and leave space behind. Their last four meetings averaged 3.5 goals.

Price 52.4%Edge +2.6Ours 55%
1 pt
Premier LeagueTip 5
KGM
Kingsmead
WWWLW
Sun
14:00
EBW
Eastbridge Wanderers
DLWDD
Asian handicap
Eastbridge +0.75
9/10

Four of Kingsmead’s last five wins came by a single goal. Eastbridge have lost by two or more only once.

Price 52.6%Edge +4.4Ours 57%
1 pt
Champions LeagueTip 6
WES
Westford Albion
WDWLW
Tue
20:00
VAL
Sporting Valmora
WWDLW
BTTS & goals
BTTS & over 2.5
13/10

Both sides have scored in five of their last six European games. A speculative half-point.

Price 43.5%Edge +3.5Ours 47%
0.5 pt

Example tips, prices and form for demonstration. Prices move: check before you bet. 18+.

Build it, then do the maths

Weekend acca builder

Tick this weekend’s tips to see how the odds multiply, and what that does to your chance of winning. Every leg has to land.

Example prices
4 legs · every leg has to land
Combined odds
14.07
Chance the prices imply
7.1%
Returns if it all lands£140.72

Prices are examples. The margin grows with every leg you add. 18+.

Every tip, winners and losers

The record

We settle every tip at the price we advised, record half-refunds exactly and never delete a loser. Judge us on ROI over hundreds of bets, not strike rate alone.

Sample record · replace with your results
+5.07

points profit from 64 tips over 16 weekends

By marketBetsProfit
Match result18 +2.4
Goals22 +1.1
BTTS14 +0.9
Handicap10 +0.67
45.3%
Strike rate
+7.8%
ROI on 65 pts staked
61%
Beat the closing price
4
Longest losing run
Profit by weekend, points
W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16
Last resultsWLWWLWLWLW

Sample data for demonstration, not real results. Past results are no guide to future results.

Betting markets

Betting markets explained

Both teams to score, over/under goals and Asian handicaps: how each market works and when it's worth a bet.

Does each side score at least once?

Back yes and you need a 1-1, 2-1, 3-2 or any score where neither team finishes on zero. Back no and you win if either team fails to score, 0-0 included. Who wins the match doesn’t matter.

Normal time
90 minutes plus stoppage. Extra time and shootouts don’t count.
Own goals
Count for the team they are credited to.
Abandoned
Usually void, but rules differ. Check the terms.
Reading the prices
PriceDecimalChance
1/21.5066.7%
4/51.8055.6%
evens2.0050.0%
6/52.2045.5%
Betting guides

Betting guides

How odds work, what accumulators really cost and how acca insurance changes the maths.

Partner offers · UK customers

Featured offers

Offers from our partners, with the terms that matter pulled out. We may earn a commission if you sign up; it never changes a tip or a price we quote.

Example offers · placeholder partners
#BookmakerWelcome offerBest forMin oddsRating
1
BBookmaker ANew customer offerOur pick for accas
Bet £10, get £30 in free betsAcca insurance on 5+ legs1/2 (1.50)4.818+ · New UK customers · T&Cs apply
2
BBookmaker BNew customer offer
Bet £20, get a £20 acca free betSaturday price boostsEvens (2.00)4.618+ · New UK customers · T&Cs apply
3
BBookmaker CNew customer offer
£20 in free betsBet builder on every game1/2 (1.50)4.318+ · New UK customers · T&Cs apply

Replace these example partners with your own offers: add your affiliate links in the page editor.

FAQ

Straight answers

The questions we get most about the markets, the maths and how we record our tips.

What is a good strike rate for football tips?⌄

It depends on the odds. Tips on short-priced favourites at around 1.50 need a strike rate above 66.7% just to break even, while tips averaging 3.00 break even at 33.3%. Judge a tipster on ROI across hundreds of bets.

What does edge mean on a tip?⌄

The gap between the chance the price implies and the chance we think the bet has. A price of 11/10 implies 47.6%; if we make it 55%, the edge is +7.4 points.

What is a point?⌄

A unit of stake you set yourself, such as £1, £5 or 1% of your betting bank, so our record means the same whatever you bet.

Where can I get help if betting stops being fun?⌄

GamCare offers free, confidential help 24 hours a day on 0808 8020 133 and at gamcare.org.uk. You can also block gambling sites with GAMSTOP.

Football Tips Demo

Weekend football tips, match previews and plain-English guides to the betting markets